Alcohol Use During Pandemic Liver Disease: A Study
Researchers projected the rates of liver disease and associated death due to increased alcohol consumption during the Covid-19 pandemic.
The research has been published in the ‘Hepatology Journal’.
A team led by investigators from Massachusetts General Hospital used data from a national survey of American adults on their drinking habits, which found that binge drinking (such as binge drinking) alcohol) had increased by 21% during the Covid-19 pandemic.
Scientists simulated alcohol use trajectories and liver disease trends in all American adults.
They estimated that a one-year increase in alcohol consumption during the Covid-19 pandemic would result in 8,000 additional deaths from alcohol-related liver disease, 18,700 cases of liver failure and 1 000 cases of liver cancer by 2040. In the short term, changes in alcohol consumption due to Covid-19 are expected to cause 100 more deaths and 2,800 more cases of liver failure by 2023.
The researchers noted that a sustained increase in alcohol consumption for more than a year could lead to an additional 19-35% mortality.
“Our results underscore the need for individuals and policy makers to make informed decisions to mitigate the impact of high-risk alcohol consumption during the Covid-19 pandemic in the United States,” said the author Principal Jagpreet Chhatwal, PhD, Associate Director of the Institute for Technology at MGH. Assessment and Assistant Professor of Radiology at Harvard Medical School.
“While we have projected the expected impact of societal changes in alcohol consumption associated with the Covid-19 pandemic without any intervention, we hope our research can help start the necessary conversations at all levels. of society on how we can respond to the many changes in behavior, coping mechanisms and choices that have short and long term implications for the health of individuals, families and communities in America, ”added the senior author Jovan Julien, MS, data analyst at MGH Institute for Technology Assessment and doctoral candidate at Georgia Institute of Technology.
“The Covid-19 pandemic has had many unintended consequences with unknown long-term impact. Our modeling study provides a framework to quantify the long-term impact of increased alcohol consumption associated with Covid-19 and initiate conversations for potential interventions, ”noted co-author Turgay Ayer, PhD , George Family Foundation Early Career Professor of Systems Engineering at Georgia Institute of Technology.